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AMCouncil · Human–AI Boundary Framework · Foundational Research (Independent)

Condition, Performance & Risk

A theory-forward research pack built from first principles and primary sources — a rigorous, shared floor for members and volunteers to form their own view. Knowledge-gathering, not a webinar design and not a settled position.

Scope · Condition · Performance · Risk + the human–AI boundary
Coverage · Australia · US · UK/EU · West & East theory
Scale · 7 dossiers · ~54,000 words · ~300 sources · fact-checked
A discussion aid, not a verdict. This is gathered, cited research to support the community conversation — it is not the AMCouncil's settled position, and the framework itself is still to be developed with members. Treat the findings as well-sourced inputs and starting points, not conclusions.
The one finding

AI amplifies whatever you already have — it can make an inferred condition look measured, an optimised proxy look like real performance, and a quantified risk look safe. Which way it resolves is a governance choice, not a property of the model. The irreducibly human core that recurred across every stream: define the purpose · validate the evidence · own the value judgement · accept & record the residual risk · retain the ability to stop · stay accountable by name · watch for drift · keep the skill to work without it.

Start here

Synthesis & provisional boundary scaffold

The whole argument in one read: the triad re-grounded, what the classics say is irreducibly human, the boundary science, the standards gap, the case lesson — plus a provisional per-concept boundary table, a draft decision-rights sketch, and nine open questions for the volunteers.

Dossier 1 of 7

The Concept of Condition

Condition is a latent state — never observed, only inferred from proxies. Why that fact forces a human to validate the inference.

Dossier 1 · 6,060 words · 30 sources
Dossier 2 of 7

The Concept of Performance

Performance is relational (function, standard, context) — and an AI optimiser is a Goodhart machine that maximises the proxy, not the purpose.

Dossier 2 · 7,034 words · 29 sources
Dossier 3 of 7

The Concept of Risk

Risk is the effect of uncertainty on objectives. Knight's risk-vs-uncertainty line is exactly where AI's false confidence begins.

Dossier 3 · 6,197 words · 42 sources
Dossier 4 of 7

Classic Theories & Philosophies (West + East)

Hume, Aristotle, Polanyi, Wang Yangming, Zhuangzi and Sun Tzu converge — millennia apart — on judgement, tacit knowledge and knowing-as-acting as the human core.

Dossier 4 · 8,921 words · 38 sources
Dossier 5 of 7

Automation, Human Factors & the Human–AI Boundary

Seventy years of human-factors research — Ironies of Automation, calibrated trust, automation bias, the responsibility gap — distilled into eight non-delegable human duties.

Dossier 5 · 7,971 words · 30 sources
Dossier 6 of 7

Standards, Frameworks & Global / US / AU Practice

The accountability scaffolding already exists (ISO 55001, ISO 31000) — but no asset-management standard yet governs AI oversight. That gap is what AMC can fill.

Dossier 6 · 8,089 words · 70 sources
Case Library

Case Study Library

Cross-sector cases (aviation, rail, grid, water, oil & gas, mining, structures) where prediction of condition, performance or risk succeeded, failed or nearly failed.

Case Library · 24 cases · 9,631 words · 63 sources

Reading paths

20 minutes — the Synthesis.
1 hour — Synthesis → Dossier 5 (boundary science) → Case Library.
Deep dive — Dossiers 1·2·3 (the concepts) → 4 (why they're hard) → 5 (the boundary) → 6 (standards) → 7 (cases).
By role — practitioners: 5 + 8 · standards/governance: 6 · strategy/philosophy: 4 + Synthesis.

Accuracy note

Contested claims and vendor/operator-reported figures (PdM market sizes, platform accuracy %, savings %) are flagged as claims throughout, and headline quotes were verified against primary sources. One error found & fixed: Nowlan & Heap's age-related-failure share is ~11% (≈89% not), not 9%. EU AI Act high-risk obligations (incl. Art. 14 human oversight) apply from 2 August 2026. Foundational research for member validation — not the AMCouncil's settled position. (A superseded open-source-tooling dossier is parked in Archive/ and is not part of this pack.)